Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 30 | - |
| G. Boyanov * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| B. Stevens * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Stover * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Whittingham * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Judah Brown | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| N. Davis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| N. Marijan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. MuepoKelly | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Eaves * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 31 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Chris Burgess * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Emarius Logan | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Michael Obacha | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Matt O'Boyle | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Babic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter