Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +27 (91-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Carter * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 43 | - |
| Donte Thomas * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Charles Waters * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Frederic Dure | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Christian Davis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Bilbao * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 30 | - |
| Erick Neal * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Kennedy Eubanks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 38 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Drew Charles * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Kaelon Wilson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Nathan Hawkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Faith Pope | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nick Pallas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julian Harris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mairega Clarke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter