Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -3 (81-84). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Thomas * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 37 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Charles Waters * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Frederic Dure | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Christian Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton III * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Jeremy Hollimon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Daniel Peace * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordon Varnado * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Jaro Moravek | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B.J. Miller | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kelton Ford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hopkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Ariri | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter