Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | +22.3 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +9 (89-80). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Carter * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 38 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Donte Thomas * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Charles Waters * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson Jr. * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Josh Hagins * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Roger Woods * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 38 | - |
| Jermaine Ruttley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Lis Shoshi | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Mareik Isom | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Jackson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maurius Hill | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kemy Osse | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter