Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (82-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Conner * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 27 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Lamonte Bearden * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Ikenna Smart * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Rodell Wigginton * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Blake Hamilton | 26 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7 | - |
| C.J. Massinburg | 21 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -5.3 |
| Nick Perkins | 18 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Nikola Rakicevic | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zac DiSalvo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Pino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +6.6 |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Derryck Thornton | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter