Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +33 (85-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Smith * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Moore * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Darius Perkins * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Julion Pearre * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Elston Jones * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shane Rector | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lew Evans | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Quinn Taylor | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Grayson Moore | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trace Cureton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Henry Bolton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amile Jefferson * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 26 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Derryck Thornton | 19 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Obi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter