Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makai Mason * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jack Montague * | 36 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Justin Sears * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Nick Victor * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Sherrod * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Dallier | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Blake Reynolds | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Khaliq Ghani | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Downey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Derryck Thornton * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Ingram | 34 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter