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2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Log Adjusted 66.4% 33.6% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Tarrant Jr. * 36 3-11 2-5 12-12 4 1 1 0 2 20 13 -8.0
S. Goodwin * 25 3-10 0-0 7-7 9 1 2 1 5 13 11 +1.0
T. Burrell * 21 1-7 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 2 1 2 4 -7.2
J. Martin * 21 2-5 2-2 4-7 2 1 0 0 1 10 7 +1.7
K.J. Lawson * 19 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 -7.1
A. Woodson 26 4-10 3-9 3-3 1 0 1 0 0 14 6 +1.9
M. Crawford 23 3-7 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 1 0 8 11 -9.8
D. Lawson 19 2-7 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 3 4 6 2 -
N. Marshall 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
K. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McDowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kacinas * 36 2-7 0-3 4-4 5 1 2 2 2 8 9 -0.5
S. Thornwell * 36 4-8 1-3 9-14 6 2 3 2 3 18 20 -
M. Carrera * 28 4-11 2-3 6-9 11 1 0 1 3 16 15 -
P. Dozier * 15 3-7 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 2 7 0 -
L. Chatkevicius * 13 2-6 0-1 5-6 6 0 0 2 2 9 9 +11.2
D. Notice 33 1-8 1-6 12-12 6 3 0 0 1 15 15 +10.3
M. Stroman 19 0-1 0-0 5-8 2 2 2 0 0 5 10 +10.5
C. Silva 13 1-8 0-0 4-7 7 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
E. Cobb 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Gregory 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. McKie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter