Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah Utes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Utes +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hemsley * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -2 | -3.7 |
| T. Kell * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -3.7 |
| S. Spencer * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.3 |
| M. Pope * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +0.3 |
| W. Shepard * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 18 | -4.2 |
| D. Allen | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Chol | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Z. Cheatham | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +0.4 |
| B. Perez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +7.3 |
| J. Loveridge * | 36 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +6.9 |
| L. Bonam * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +6.6 |
| J. Poeltl * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| K. Kuzma * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Chapman | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +1.0 |
| I. Wright | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Tucker | 6 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Reyes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter