Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lee * | 40 | 8-20 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 7 | +4.6 |
| T. Lewis * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Q. Snider * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.1 |
| C. Onuaku * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Spalding * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6.6 |
| M. Stockman | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6.8 |
| D. Adel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Ulis * | 39 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 3-14 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Lee * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -6.3 |
| Derek Willis | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Skal Labissiere | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter