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2015-12-12

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% - โœ—
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.8 โœ— (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Alford * 38 4-11 1-3 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 13 9 -
Isaac Hamilton * 37 8-15 3-6 1-3 1 3 3 0 1 20 11 +2.5
Aaron Holiday * 30 1-7 0-3 0-2 3 5 1 1 1 2 4 -
Tony Parker * 27 8-9 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 16 11 +2.7
Thomas Welsh * 27 4-8 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 0 1 8 8 +7.5
Jonah Bolden 30 2-7 1-4 5-7 11 1 0 0 1 10 14 -
Alex Olesinski 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Prince Ali 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.2

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Wiltjer * 39 7-15 4-9 2-2 8 3 1 0 0 20 17 +0.9
Josh Perkins * 36 4-12 0-5 2-4 5 1 0 1 2 10 3 -6.1
Domantas Sabonis * 33 7-12 0-1 4-4 8 0 1 0 3 18 12 -
Eric McClellan * 26 5-11 2-6 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 14 6 -6.2
Silas Melson * 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Kyle Dranginis 32 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 2 3 -6.0
Bryan Alberts 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 +6.0
Ryan Edwards 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 2 2 3 +6.0

* = starter