Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Banyard | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +11.6 |
| DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell * | 32 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | +2.5 |
| Tony Wills * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 20 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Roland Griffin | 28 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +11.1 |
| Quintin Brewer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Justin McCloud | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +6.3 |
| Daouda N'Diaye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Matthews * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5.8 |
| Alex Poythress * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 9-13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Derek Willis | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter