Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Carter | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Jerome Seagears * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -5.1 |
| Patrick McCaw * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dwayne Morgan * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Ike Nwamu * | 25 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Derrick Jones | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Cornish | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Stephen Zimmerman | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Poyser | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyrell Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadeem Allen * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Gabe York * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 12 | +8.8 |
| Ryan Anderson * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | +8.6 |
| Allonzo Trier * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Dusan Ristic * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +8.5 |
| Mark Tollefsen | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Parker Jackson-Cartwright | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chance Comanche | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Simon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter