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2015-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% -
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% -
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 25.4% 74.6% -
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Baldwin IV * 36 5-14 0-2 3-4 8 5 3 0 6 13 9 -
J. Roberson * 35 4-10 2-3 2-3 3 0 2 0 0 12 7 -1.9
M. Fisher-Davis * 33 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
R. LaChance * 27 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -9.1
D. Jones * 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 1 -9.2
J. Henderson 24 3-8 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 1 1 6 5 -2.6
N. Cressler 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -1 +7.1
J. Toye 9 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 4 +6.9
S. Sehic 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Josephs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Swanigan * 28 4-7 0-1 5-6 8 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
R. Davis * 25 3-7 1-4 7-8 5 1 0 0 2 14 11 -
P.J. Thompson * 22 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
V. Edwards * 17 1-6 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 4 -5.4
I. Haas * 11 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 3 6 3 -5.4
A. Hammons 28 9-16 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 7 2 21 20 -
J. Hill 20 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 3 0 1 1 5 +6.0
K. Stephens 19 0-7 0-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -4 -
D. Mathias 17 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 3 6 +6.1
R. Cline 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 3 6 +11.3

* = starter