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2015-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 1.1% 98.9% -
Bradley-Terry 5.7% 94.3% -
Margin 62.5% 37.5% -2.8 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% -
Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Log Adjusted 94.7% 5.3% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -13 (57-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Ellis * 35 8-15 2-3 2-2 3 3 0 2 5 20 8 -0.8
D. Graham * 34 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 10 7 -
F. Mason III * 30 5-12 2-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 12 7 -
W. Selden * 22 3-6 1-2 3-3 3 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
H. Mickelson * 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 2 5 -
B. Greene 26 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 4 7 -1.3
J. Traylor 21 1-4 0-0 4-4 6 0 3 1 0 6 12 -
C. Diallo 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
S. Mykhailiuk 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Bragg Jr. 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -3.2
L. Lucas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Spencer * 33 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 6 7 +1.8
J. Hemsley * 29 4-12 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 10 -2 +2.0
Z. Cheatham * 29 5-8 0-1 2-5 8 4 1 1 2 12 16 -
W. Shepard * 26 3-8 0-0 3-6 6 2 0 0 2 9 7 +4.7
T. Kell * 26 1-6 1-2 3-3 5 2 2 0 1 6 8 +2.9
B. Perez 21 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 3 +1.4
D. Allen 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Pope 11 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 2 2 2 2 +4.7
A. Chol 7 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 +2.5
D. Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter