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2015-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 72.6% 27.4% -
Bradley-Terry 83.4% 16.6% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.3 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +42 (88-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Oguine * 37 0-5 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 3 1 +0.2
W. Wright * 28 2-10 1-6 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 7 1 +0.5
M. Breunig * 26 3-12 0-1 3-5 6 1 0 1 2 9 3 +0.2
B. Gfeller * 19 3-7 3-6 3-4 1 0 2 0 1 12 7 +0.1
F. Krslovic * 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 -
J. Lopez 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 -1.4
B. Moorehead 22 1-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -2 +0.9
B. Boehning 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 +0.6
R. Bradshaw 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. DeJong 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Selden * 26 5-10 0-4 1-2 4 4 2 0 1 11 10 -
P. Ellis * 24 4-7 0-0 10-10 9 0 1 0 0 18 21 +3.7
F. Mason III * 23 2-5 1-1 2-3 2 9 0 1 0 7 14 -
B. Greene * 19 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 11 11 +0.7
H. Mickelson * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 2 8 -
D. Graham 21 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
S. Mykhailiuk 16 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 10 3 -
C. Bragg Jr. 14 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 1 0 9 8 +2.8
J. Traylor 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 3 0 3 -
C. Diallo 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 4 4 -
L. Lucas 9 3-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 7 10 +3.4
C. Young 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Self 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
E. Manning 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter