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2015-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 6.4% 93.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% - โœ—
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.6 โœ— (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% - โœ—

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorenzo Bonam * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 9 1 4 2 12 27 -
Jordan Loveridge * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 9 12 -
Brandon Taylor * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 5 6 -
Kyle Kuzma * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 4 21 27 -
Jakob Poeltl * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 3 3 19 34 -
Dakarai Tucker 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 5 10 -
Chris Reyes 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 4 13 -
Brekkott Chapman 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 2 5 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Jones * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 18 25 -
Brandon Ingram * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 3 1 15 25 -
Derryck Thornton * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 8 14 -
Grayson Allen * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 7 13 -
Marshall Plumlee * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 3 12 -
Luke Kennard 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 24 33 -
Chase Jeter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter