Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Hamilton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Aaron Holiday * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Bryce Alford * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Thomas Welsh * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jonah Bolden | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Alex Olesinski | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Noah Allen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jerrold Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alec Wulff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ikenna Okwarabizie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 39 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Joel James * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Nate Britt | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Luke Maye | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spenser Dalton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Toby Egbuna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter