Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dixon * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| K. Yanku * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 24 | - |
| J. Martin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Q. Upshur * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Springs * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| G. Bewernick | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Kaluna | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Z. Reynolds | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Balentine * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| A. Wing * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Mockevicius * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 43 | - |
| B. Simmons * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Gibson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Brown | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Brzoja | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Benzon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter