Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. Carson | 23 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 22 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Wright | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 18 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Cash | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Swords | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Liston | 25 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| S. Augustus | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Brunson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Moore | 23 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| L. Whalen | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. O'Neill | 16 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Wright | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Kelley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter