Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +26 (89-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Liston | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Peters | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Harris | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Augustus | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. O'Neill | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Whalen | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Taylor | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Moore | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Kelley | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Wright | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill | 28 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| B. Hartley | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 22 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Greene | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Lawson | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Dolson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Malott | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter