Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -24 (55-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Greene * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Hartley * | 20 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| I. Latta * | 11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Hill | 25 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Milovanovic | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Dolson | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schimmel * | 35 | 2-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - |
| M. Alwal * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Ajavon * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibekwe | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Holmes | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Hodges | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Logic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Oliver | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| L. Okafor | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter