Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Faris | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| K. Bone | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Bentley | 22 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Simmons | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Orekhova | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 28 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Johnson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. Kizer | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Butler | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Carter | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Marshall | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Gardner | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. DeVaughn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter