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2015-05-23

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Faris 23 1-2 0-1 2-3 4 1 2 1 2 4 8 -
A. Thomas 22 1-3 0-0 7-10 7 7 0 0 2 9 18 -
K. Bone 22 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
A. Bentley 22 4-13 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 -1 -
E. Williams 18 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 10 11 -
C. Gray 17 6-10 0-0 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 13 7 -
C. Little 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -3 -
J. Thomas 15 3-5 1-1 1-1 0 0 2 0 4 8 1 -
K. Griffin 13 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
K. Pedersen 12 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 1 0 3 5 -
K. Simmons 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Orekhova 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -
S. Stricklen 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 28 4-8 3-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 11 8 -
N. Howard 26 3-10 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 1 0 8 7 -
L. Clarendon 24 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 4 8 -
S. Johnson 20 3-6 1-1 6-6 4 2 0 0 2 13 11 -
L. Kizer 18 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 6 -3 -
M. Coleman 17 3-8 0-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 9 2 -
N. Achonwa 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 7 6 -
B. Butler 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
S. Carter 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Marshall 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 4 3 -
C. Gardner 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
A. DeVaughn 5 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter