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2015-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts UL Monroe Warhawks Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 โœ— (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—

Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan O'Day * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 16 22 -
Dre Wills * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 2 2 11 17 -
Kurt Steidl * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 11 11 -
Trae Bell-Haynes * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 5 8 -
Hector Harold * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
Cam Ward 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 7 12 -
Zach McRoberts 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 3 10 -
Brandon Hatton 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 3 9 -
Drew Urquhart 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Majok Deng * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 1 22 34 -
Nick Coppola * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 7 16 -
Tylor Ongwae * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 22 29 -
Justin Roberson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 3 6 14 -
Jamaal Samuel * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 14 18 -
Mack Foster 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
DeMondre Harvey 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter