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2015-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% +15.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +10 (65-55). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elizabeth Williams * 39 8-13 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 0 3 18 14 -
R. Greenwell * 37 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 5 4 -
K. Johnson * 36 4-8 2-3 5-5 2 2 3 0 2 15 12 -
A. Stevens * 34 5-15 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 1 2 11 0 -
A. Henson * 32 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Kendall Cooper 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
Mercedes Riggs 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Laurin Mincy * 40 4-8 4-6 3-3 4 7 0 0 1 15 17 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough * 36 10-15 2-2 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 24 14 -
B. Jones * 33 4-6 0-0 2-2 10 2 1 0 0 10 17 -
L. Brown * 24 0-7 0-5 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 1 0 -
Malina Howard * 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Brene Moseley 16 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 8 3 -
Kiara Leslie 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 -
Tierney Pfirman 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Kristen Confroy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Ace Harrison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter