Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lacey * | 40 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Turner * | 38 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Barber * | 33 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. Abu * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Freeman * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Anya | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Washington | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Martin | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Lee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Aaron | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Levitch | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 40 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| A. Gill | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Onuaku | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter