Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +13 (64-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Caupain * | 38 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Shaq Thomas * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Octavius Ellis * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Gary Clark * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Farad Cobb * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Coreontae DeBerry | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Quadri Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Willis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Trey Lyles * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Towns * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 34 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Devin Booker | 22 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter