Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Qualls * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 10-11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Rashad Madden * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Alandise Harris * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Anton Beard * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthlon Bell | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jacorey Williams | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jabril Durham | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Moses Kingsley | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Manuale Watkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 29 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nate Britt | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Berry II | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Joel James | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter