Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -11.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Blaskowsky | 37 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Hendley | 37 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Williamson | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| F. Ellis | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| B. Fernstrom | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Durr | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Bell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Baier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hoover | 40 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Austria | 39 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Hudson | 38 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| A. Deane | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Grant-Allen | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Cornelie-Sigmundova | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Burdette | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Layfield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter