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Alabama Crimson Tide 79
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 58
2015-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - ✗
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 ✗ (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.8% 12.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -21 (58-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Randolph * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 0 0 20 32 -
R. Norris * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 4 11 -
R. Cooper * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 19 24 -
R. Obasohan * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 2 1 15 26 -
J. Taylor * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 7 12 -
M. Kessens 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 8 -
J. Coleman 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 10 10 -
D. Slaughter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Mitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Egwu * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 1 7 17 -
R. Rice * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 12 17 -
K. Nunn * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 10 12 -
L. Black * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 3 -
J. Tate * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Hill 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 22 30 -
A. Starks 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 5 12 -
A. Colbert 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Morgan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter