Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -1 (55-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 40 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 40 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Sibert * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Webb * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nick Duncan * | 38 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Chandler Hutchison * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Montigo Alford | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Robert Heyer | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 9 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jake Ness | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter