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2015-03-19

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% -
Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Alford * 39 9-13 9-11 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 27 14 -
N. Powell * 39 5-11 0-2 9-9 6 4 1 1 5 19 15 -
I. Hamilton * 36 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 3 -4 -
K. Looney * 32 3-8 0-3 0-1 10 1 1 0 1 6 9 -
T. Parker * 18 1-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
T. Welsh 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 4 1 2 11 -
G. Goloman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
N. Allen 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 40 7-18 6-11 4-4 4 3 0 0 2 24 11 -
R. Manuel * 31 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 5 8 -
Y. Moreira * 26 3-9 0-0 0-4 8 0 2 2 1 6 8 -
S. Brown * 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 2 1 0 2 8 -
C. Cunningham * 15 1-6 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 5 0 -
M. Kennedy 33 6-13 0-0 4-6 9 0 2 0 2 16 12 -
B. Moore 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 0 3 -
B. Emelogu II 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 1 5 -

* = starter