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2015-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 73.0% 27.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 โœ— (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +8 (56-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Holmes * 36 4-11 3-8 4-6 5 0 1 1 1 15 10 -
Isaiah Taylor * 32 6-15 0-1 2-2 1 4 3 0 5 14 2 -
Connor Lammert * 31 1-4 0-2 0-1 10 2 0 0 1 2 9 -
Cameron Ridley * 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 2 2 6 -
Kendal Yancy * 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Demarcus Holland 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Myles Turner 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 1 4 2 4 -
Javan Felix 15 2-5 2-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
Prince Ibeh 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Barlow * 39 1-6 1-5 4-4 8 1 2 1 2 7 11 -
Kameron Woods * 37 2-3 0-0 5-8 9 1 1 0 0 9 17 -
Kellen Dunham * 37 5-14 2-7 8-11 2 2 1 0 0 20 11 -
Andrew Chrabascz * 36 2-10 1-1 2-4 5 3 0 1 1 7 5 -
Roosevelt Jones * 29 3-10 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 1 1 6 1 -
Kelan Martin 15 3-5 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
Tyler Wideman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter