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2015-03-15

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 87.2% 12.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% - โœ—
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 โœ— (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“

Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Hamilton * 36 2-9 0-3 4-5 10 3 0 0 0 8 12 -
Ryan Boatright * 35 1-12 1-9 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 -4 -
Rodney Purvis * 35 11-22 5-13 2-5 3 0 1 0 2 29 9 -
Amida Brimah * 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 7 2 2 8 -
Phillip Nolan * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Terrence Samuel 22 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Omar Calhoun 21 0-0 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Rakim Lubin 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nic Moore * 40 3-14 1-7 4-4 0 3 0 0 0 11 0 -
Ryan Manuel * 32 1-3 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 2 1 4 6 -
Sterling Brown * 32 2-5 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 2 1 4 12 -
Yanick Moreira * 26 3-7 0-0 5-7 5 3 0 0 1 11 11 -
Cannen Cunningham * 12 0-1 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 1 0 3 8 -
Markus Kennedy 24 5-10 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 1 1 15 12 -
Ben Emelogu 19 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Ben Moore 16 3-6 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 0 1 10 11 -

* = starter