Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hamilton * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| R. Boatright * | 35 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | - |
| R. Purvis * | 35 | 11-22 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 9 | - |
| A. Brimah * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| P. Nolan * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Samuel | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Calhoun | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Lubin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 40 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| R. Manuel * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Brown * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Y. Moreira * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Kennedy | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Moore | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
* = starter