Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treveon Graham * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Terry Larrier * | 27 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Doug Brooks * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Melvin Johnson | 30 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Burgess | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarred Guest | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sibert * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 17 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter