Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alandise Harris * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Rashad Madden * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Anton Beard * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jacorey Williams * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Qualls | 24 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Manuale Watkins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Moses Kingsley | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthlon Bell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nick Weiler-Babb | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jabril Durham | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Floreal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Willis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Trey Lyles * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Towns * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 18 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Devin Booker | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter