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2015-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +11 (60-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. Frazier * 34 1-9 1-4 2-2 4 4 2 0 3 5 3 -
Marcus Thornton * 31 4-9 0-0 5-6 12 1 2 0 1 13 18 -
Nemanja Djurisic * 27 1-6 0-1 1-3 4 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
Charles Mann * 22 1-4 0-0 0-3 1 3 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Geno * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Cameron Forte 25 5-9 0-0 3-5 4 0 1 2 2 13 9 -
Taylor Echols 16 3-5 3-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Yante Maten 16 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Juwan Parker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Houston Kessler 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Portis * 30 1-14 0-0 2-3 12 1 1 0 3 4 1 -
Michael Qualls * 28 5-13 1-4 4-5 6 1 0 0 1 15 8 -
Alandise Harris * 27 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Anton Beard * 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 4 8 -
Rashad Madden * 20 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
Anthlon Bell 18 4-9 2-6 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 10 3 -
Manuale Watkins 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Nick Weiler-Babb 12 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 5 6 -
Jacorey Williams 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
Moses Kingsley 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 2 8 -
Jabril Durham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Keaton Miles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter