Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +8 (90-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 38 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 33 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 32 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Berry II | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Joel James | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Britt | 8 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Connaughton * | 38 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Demetrius Jackson * | 37 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Zach Auguste * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Steve Vasturia * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jerian Grant * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 15-18 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| V.J. Beachem | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bonzie Colson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter