Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +24 (91-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Reed | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Mason * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| K.T. Harrell * | 32 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 11-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Canada * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K.C. Ross-Miller * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Devin Waddell * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alex Thompson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Lang | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cole Stockton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Keim | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Trey Lyles * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Towns * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Devin Booker | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Willis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E.J. Floreal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter