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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 59
@
Montana Grizzlies 61
2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 ✓ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 75.6% 24.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% - ✓

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Yanku * 38 6-21 1-6 13-15 5 4 5 0 2 26 17 -
Quinton Upshur * 36 6-11 2-7 3-4 3 2 1 1 1 17 12 -
Aaseem Dixon * 35 3-8 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 0 2 8 6 -
Jordyn Martin * 31 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Len Springs * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 2 6 -
Ako Kaluna 19 0-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6 -
Gaellen Bewernick 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Zachary Reynolds 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mario Dunn * 38 2-7 1-3 4-6 11 2 1 0 2 9 14 -
Jordan Gregory * 36 7-14 3-7 4-4 4 2 0 0 3 21 10 -
Martin Breunig * 34 3-10 0-0 4-8 8 4 0 0 3 10 9 -
Fabijan Krslovic * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Brandon Gfeller * 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Riley Bradshaw 22 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Chris Kemp 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Michael Weisner 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Jack Lopez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter