Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yanku * | 38 | 6-21 | 1-6 | 13-15 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Q. Upshur * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Dixon * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Martin * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Springs * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Kaluna | 19 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| G. Bewernick | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Z. Reynolds | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dunn * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Gregory * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| M. Breunig * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| F. Krslovic * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Gfeller * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Bradshaw | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Kemp | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Weisner | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lopez | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter