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2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 66.0% 34.0% -3.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 12.3% 87.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.C. Ross-Miller * 38 0-6 0-0 4-9 7 5 2 0 1 4 11 -
K. Harrell * 34 5-11 4-7 15-18 4 2 2 0 3 29 23 -
T.J. Lang * 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
C. Bowers * 23 3-10 0-0 1-3 10 0 1 0 3 7 5 -
J. Granger * 23 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
M. Canada 31 6-10 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 2 3 14 10 -
A. Mason 29 3-8 1-3 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
D. Waddell 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Thompson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hornsby * 43 8-15 3-7 5-5 3 1 0 1 2 24 12 -
J. Martin * 43 5-13 0-0 8-18 16 1 0 1 3 18 20 -
J. Patterson * 42 3-10 3-8 4-4 1 3 2 1 1 13 9 -
T. Quarterman * 38 1-4 1-2 6-13 4 3 2 2 1 9 15 -
J. Mickey * 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 4 1 3 -
J. Gray 24 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 5 3 -3 -
B. Bridgewater 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Malone 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
A. Epps 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter