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2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kasey Hill * 35 4-10 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 1 4 8 0 -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 29 2-10 0-2 0-0 8 3 0 1 0 4 6 -
Jon Horford * 27 7-10 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 15 9 -
Eli Carter * 26 5-10 1-3 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 11 7 -
Chris Chiozza * 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
Devin Robinson 19 1-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
Michael Frazier 17 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -5 -
Alex Murphy 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Chris Walker 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jacob Kurtz 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 32 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 9 7 -
A. Harrison * 28 4-8 1-3 4-4 3 0 0 1 1 13 8 -
K. Towns * 27 5-10 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 1 0 13 16 -
Trey Lyles * 25 1-8 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 21 2-9 0-0 5-6 4 1 0 2 0 9 7 -
Tyler Ulis 32 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 4 3 0 1 7 11 -
Devin Booker 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Dakari Johnson 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 2 2 3 -
Marcus Lee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter