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2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hill * 35 4-10 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 1 4 8 0 -
D. Finney-Smith * 29 2-10 0-2 0-0 8 3 0 1 0 4 6 -
J. Horford * 27 7-10 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 15 9 -
E. Carter * 26 5-10 1-3 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 11 7 -
C. Chiozza * 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
D. Robinson 19 1-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
M. Frazier II 17 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -5 -
A. Murphy 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Walker 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Kurtz 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 32 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 9 7 -
A. Harrison * 28 4-8 1-3 4-4 3 0 0 1 1 13 8 -
K. Towns * 27 5-10 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 1 0 13 16 -
T. Lyles * 25 1-8 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
W. Cauley-Stein * 21 2-9 0-0 5-6 4 1 0 2 0 9 7 -
T. Ulis 32 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 4 3 0 1 7 11 -
D. Booker 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
D. Johnson 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 2 2 3 -
M. Lee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter