Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Scott * | 39 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Sam Thompson * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Amir Williams * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Marc Loving | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kam Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Matt Costello | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Clark II | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bryn Forbes | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter