Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mooney | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Hayden Graham * | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Lyons * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Zach Kocur * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Marek Olesinski * | 28 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Max Yon * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Zach Moer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Siples | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Duncan * | 36 | 8-18 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| James Webb * | 34 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chandler Hutchison * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Robert Heyer | 27 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| David Wacker | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Montigo Alford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter