Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -3.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Joel James * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Berry II | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nate Britt | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Snider * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 38 | 6-20 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 3 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| A. Gill | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Levitch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter