Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -18 (55-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spike Albrecht * | 39 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Zak Irvin * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Max Bielfeldt * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 24 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kameron Chatman | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ricky Doyle | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Donnal | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sean Lonergan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Dakich | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Egwu * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Rice * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Nunn * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Hill * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Starks * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Tate | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Black | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Colbert | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. La Tulip | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Liss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Schmidt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter